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A new study by the Center for Disease Control, published in the American Journal of Preventative Medicine, is estimating that the rates of obesity in America could climb to a staggering 42% of the population by 2030. It also estimates that the number of people classified as severely obese could double to 11%.
Currently, approximately 36% of the adult population is classified as obese (Body Mass Index of over 30). Even though rates have slowed recently and it was thought that the epidemic had leveled off, this new research suggests it is still growing. Severe obesity, measured as a Body Mass Index of over 40, used to be extremely rare, but has risen sharply in recent years.
The researchers have also estimated that these increased rates will cost up to $550 billion over the next 20 years, mainly in the treatment of heart disease, diabetes, cancer and stoke related to obesity.
The study did not include statistics for children and could be even worse as obese children typically become obese adults. Although Eric Finkelstein, one of the lead researcher did note that these figures were just estimates, saying “We’re almost surely wrong in our forecast. That’s the thing about forecasts — they are guesses. This is our best guess. The world changes, if new drugs or technology comes out, if the government comes out and makes major changes, lots could happen.”
Read the full Study